Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Estadio de Riazor
Deportivo La Coruna
8th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Levante
18th · 10 pts55% Deportivo
22% Draw
23% Levante
OUR PICK
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.21
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X4.6024.34
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
60%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Deportivo La CorunaLevante1.4Goals per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.9
1.27Points per game0.91
27%Win rate18%
1Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Deportivo La Coruna form
WWLDLH Osasuna2–1
A Auriense0–3
A Atletico Madrid1–0
H Levante1–1
A Real Sociedad3–2
Levante form
LLWDDH Atletico Madrid0–2
A Real Sociedad2–1
H Athletic Club3–1
A Deportivo La Coruna1–1
H Sevilla3–3
Head to head
0
Deportivo
3
Draw
2
Levante
Oct 2026Deportivo La Coruna – Levante1–1
Jan 2025Deportivo La Coruna – Levante1–2
Oct 2024Levante – Deportivo La Coruna2–1
Jan 2018Deportivo La Coruna – Levante2–2
Aug 2017Levante – Deportivo La Coruna2–2
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Deportivo La Coruna11+114
9Villarreal11012
10Celta Vigo11012
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.98 for Deportivo La Coruna, 1.21 for Levante), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo La Coruna sit 8th on 14 points; Levante are 18th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.