Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 15Monday, 19 October 2026 · Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
9th · 27 pts0–0FULL TIME
Junior
2nd · 35 pts42% Deportivo
27% Draw
31% Junior
OUR PICK
Deportivo Cali to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.40X3.6823.21
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Deportivo CaliJunior1.1Goals per game1.6
0.8Conceded per game1.3
1.42Points per game1.84
37%Win rate58%
4Goal difference7
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Deportivo Cali form
WDWDDH Chico2–0
A Fortaleza FC1–1
A Llaneros0–3
H Junior0–0
A Deportivo Pereira0–0
Junior form
LDWDDA Llaneros3–2
A Chico1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–0
A Deportivo Cali0–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
Head to head
1
Deportivo
2
Draw
2
Junior
Oct 2026Deportivo Cali – Junior0–0
Apr 2026Junior – Deportivo Cali1–2
Jul 2025Deportivo Cali – Junior0–2
Jan 2025Junior – Deportivo Cali0–0
Nov 2024Junior – Deportivo Cali3–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Cali slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.33 for Deportivo Cali, 1.11 for Junior), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Cali sit 9th on 27 points; Junior are 2nd on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.