Over 1.5 goals@2.01
Over 1.5
50%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 13Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
9th · 27 pts3–1FULL TIME
Alianza Valledupar
17th · 17 pts53% Deportivo
32% Draw
16% Alianza
OUR PICK
Deportivo Cali to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.50
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X3.1726.33
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.31
Both scoreGG3.49NG1.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.37
NG
73%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
Deportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar1.1Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game1.4
1.42Points per game0.89
37%Win rate16%
4Goal difference-14
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Deportivo Cali form
DWDDWA Fortaleza FC1–1
A Llaneros0–3
H Junior0–0
A Deportivo Pereira0–0
H Alianza Valledupar3–1
Alianza Valledupar form
LWWDLA Once Caldas1–0
H Internacional de Bogota1–0
A Deportivo Pasto0–1
H Águilas Doradas2–2
A Deportivo Cali3–1
Head to head
2
Deportivo
0
Draw
3
Alianza
Oct 2026Deportivo Cali – Alianza Valledupar3–1
May 2026Deportivo Cali – Alianza Valledupar1–0
Mar 2026Alianza Valledupar – Deportivo Cali1–0
Oct 2025Deportivo Cali – Alianza Valledupar0–1
May 2025Alianza Valledupar – Deportivo Cali2–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Cali clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (1.17 for Deportivo Cali, 0.50 for Alianza Valledupar), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Cali sit 9th on 27 points; Alianza Valledupar are 17th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.