Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
84%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 24Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza
Deportes Limache
4th · 40 pts2–2FULL TIME
Palestino
6th · 38 pts53% Deportes
22% Draw
25% Palestino
OUR PICK
Deportes Limache to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.29
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X4.5623.99
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Deportes LimachePalestino1.8Goals per game1.5
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.54Points per game1.46
46%Win rate42%
11Goal difference2
10Form, last 5 (pts)5
Deportes Limache form
WWDLWH A. Italiano2–0
A Universidad de Concepcion0–1
H Palestino2–2
A Union La Calera1–0
H Cobresal3–0
Palestino form
LDDWLA Concepción1–0
H Colo Colo1–1
A Deportes Limache2–2
A Alianza Lima1–2
H U. Catolica2–3
Head to head
0
Deportes
2
Draw
3
Palestino
Oct 2026Deportes Limache – Palestino2–2
May 2026Palestino – Deportes Limache3–2
Apr 2026Palestino – Deportes Limache1–0
Mar 2026Deportes Limache – Palestino1–1
Nov 2025Palestino – Deportes Limache2–1
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes Deportes Limache slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.96 for Deportes Limache, 1.29 for Palestino), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportes Limache sit 4th on 40 points; Palestino are 6th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.