Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza
Deportes Limache
6th · 37 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
A. Italiano
13th · 30 pts56% Deportes
23% Draw
22% A.
OUR PICK
Deportes Limache to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.85 – 1.06
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X4.4124.65
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.27
1X
78%
Season stats
Deportes LimacheA. Italiano1.8Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.3
1.48Points per game1.20
44%Win rate28%
9Goal difference-5
10Form, last 5 (pts)8
Deportes Limache form
No recent matches.
A. Italiano form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Deportes
0
Draw
0
A.
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes Deportes Limache clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.85 for Deportes Limache, 1.06 for A. Italiano), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportes Limache sit 6th on 37 points; A. Italiano are 13th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.