Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stade Van Roy
Dender
2nd · 19 pts1–1FULL TIME
KRC Genk II
11th · 9 pts69% Dender
20% Draw
11% KRC
OUR PICK
Dender to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.65
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X5.0128.89
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
DenderKRC Genk II1.5Goals per game1.4
0.4Conceded per game1.8
2.38Points per game1.00
75%Win rate22%
9Goal difference-3
13Form, last 5 (pts)3
Dender form
DLWWWH KRC Genk II1–1
A Standard Liege2–0
H Club Brugge II3–0
A Hoogstraten0–6
H Patro Eisden1–0
KRC Genk II form
DDLDLA Dender1–1
H Club Brugge II0–0
A Patro Eisden1–0
H Seraing United2–2
A Excelsior Virton3–0
Head to head
2
Dender
1
Draw
2
KRC
Nov 2026Dender – KRC Genk II1–1
Feb 2024KRC Genk II – Dender2–1
Oct 2023Dender – KRC Genk II1–3
Apr 2023KRC Genk II – Dender0–4
Mar 2023Dender – KRC Genk II1–0
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes Dender clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.98 for Dender, 0.65 for KRC Genk II), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dender sit 2nd on 19 points; KRC Genk II are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.