BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Friday, 9 October 2026 · Stade Van Roy

Dender

2nd · 19 pts

3–0FULL TIME

Club Brugge II

10th · 9 pts

60% Dender

23% Draw

18% Club

OUR PICK

Dender to win

Model probability 60% · fair odds

1.67

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.88

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.67X4.4325.65

Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93

Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.33

Over 1.5

75%

Over/Under 2.5@1.97

Over 2.5

51%

Both teams to score@1.97

51%

Double chance@1.21

82%

Season stats

DenderClub Brugge II

1.5Goals per game1.8

0.4Conceded per game2.1

2.38Points per game1.13

75%Win rate25%

9Goal difference-3

13Form, last 5 (pts)3

Dender form

DLWWW

H KRC Genk II1–1

A Standard Liege2–0

H Club Brugge II3–0

A Hoogstraten0–6

H Patro Eisden1–0

Club Brugge II form

LDLDD

H Sporting Hasselt3–4

A KRC Genk II0–0

A Dender3–0

H KAA Gent II2–2

A Liège4–4

Head to head

Dender

Draw

Club

Oct 2026Dender – Club Brugge II3–0

Mar 2024Club Brugge II – Dender0–1

Nov 2023Dender – Club Brugge II2–0

Nov 2022Club Brugge II – Dender4–1

Oct 2022Dender – Club Brugge II3–2

Challenger Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Beerschot VA9+1624

2Dender8+919

3AS Eupen8+615

4Sporting Hasselt8-115

5Excelsior Virton8+413

6Lokeren-Temse8+213

7Patro Eisden9-112

8Francs Borains7-112

9KAA Gent II8-211

10Club Brugge II8-39

Match preview

Our model makes Dender clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.83 for Dender, 0.88 for Club Brugge II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Dender sit 2nd on 19 points; Club Brugge II are 10th on 9.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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