Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 11Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stadion de Vliert
Den Bosch
8th · 18 pts2–1FULL TIME
FC OSS
15th · 13 pts50% Den
23% Draw
27% FC
OUR PICK
Den Bosch to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.33
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.4323.66
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.61NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.61
GG
62%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Den BoschFC OSS1.8Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.7
1.38Points per game1.00
38%Win rate31%
2Goal difference-3
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Den Bosch form
WWDWWA Emmen0–5
A Rijnsburgse Boys3–5
H MVV2–2
H FC OSS2–1
A Jong AZ0–1
FC OSS form
LWDLWA Heracles2–0
A PEC Zwolle1–2
H Jong Ajax3–3
A Den Bosch2–1
H Helmond Sport3–1
Head to head
3
Den
0
Draw
2
FC
Oct 2026Den Bosch – FC OSS2–1
Apr 2026FC OSS – Den Bosch4–2
Aug 2025Den Bosch – FC OSS5–2
Jan 2025Den Bosch – FC OSS1–0
Nov 2024FC OSS – Den Bosch1–0
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles13+2532
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Almere City FC13+1425
4Roda13+525
5Emmen13+225
6NAC Breda13+524
7FC Volendam13+819
8Den Bosch13+218
9Vitesse13-118
10Jong AZ13+417
Match preview
Our model makes Den Bosch slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.87 for Den Bosch, 1.33 for FC OSS), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Den Bosch sit 8th on 18 points; FC OSS are 15th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.