Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 26Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Stora Valla
Degerfors IF
14th · 20 pts0–3FULL TIME
Vasteras SK FK
6th · 44 pts28% Degerfors
26% Draw
46% Vasteras
OUR PICK
Vasteras SK FK to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.44
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.63X3.7822.17
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Degerfors IFVasteras SK FK0.8Goals per game1.5
1.7Conceded per game1.4
0.74Points per game1.63
19%Win rate48%
-24Goal difference2
1Form, last 5 (pts)9
Degerfors IF form
LLLLDA Djurgardens IF2–1
H Vasteras SK FK0–3
A BK Hacken4–0
H Kalmar FF1–2
A Mjallby AIF1–1
Vasteras SK FK form
WWLWLH IF Brommapojkarna1–0
A Degerfors IF0–3
H Halmstad1–2
H Mjallby AIF1–0
A IFK Goteborg1–0
Head to head
3
Degerfors
0
Draw
2
Vasteras
Oct 2026Degerfors IF – Vasteras SK FK0–3
Jul 2026Vasteras SK FK – Degerfors IF2–0
Feb 2026Vasteras SK FK – Degerfors IF0–1
Mar 2025Degerfors IF – Vasteras SK FK1–0
Jul 2024Degerfors IF – Vasteras SK FK3–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Vasteras SK FK slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.05 for Degerfors IF, 1.44 for Vasteras SK FK), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Degerfors IF sit 14th on 20 points; Vasteras SK FK are 6th on 44.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.