Over 1.5 goals@1.65
Over 1.5
60%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 28Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stora Valla
Degerfors IF
14th · 20 pts17:30KICK-OFF WAT
Gais
10th · 34 pts21% Degerfors
29% Draw
50% Gais
OUR PICK
Gais to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
0.74 – 1.30
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.71X3.4622.00
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.61
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.61
NG
62%
Double chance@1.27
X2
79%
Season stats
Degerfors IFGais0.8Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game1.0
0.74Points per game1.31
19%Win rate35%
-24Goal difference6
1Form, last 5 (pts)7
Degerfors IF form
LLLLDA Djurgardens IF2–1
H Vasteras SK FK0–3
A BK Hacken4–0
H Kalmar FF1–2
A Mjallby AIF1–1
Gais form
WDLLWA Kalmar FF0–1
H IFK Goteborg1–1
A Orgryte IS4–2
H Sirius0–1
A Mjallby AIF0–3
Head to head
0
Degerfors
2
Draw
3
Gais
May 2026Gais – Degerfors IF1–1
Jul 2025Degerfors IF – Gais0–3
Apr 2025Gais – Degerfors IF2–0
Feb 2024Degerfors IF – Gais2–2
Feb 2023Gais – Degerfors IF1–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Gais slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.74 for Degerfors IF, 1.30 for Gais), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Degerfors IF sit 14th on 20 points; Gais are 10th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.