Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Friday, 16 October 2026 · Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa Y Justicia
10th · 19 pts0–1FULL TIME
Instituto Cordoba
9th · 21 pts42% Defensa
26% Draw
31% Instituto
OUR PICK
Defensa Y Justicia to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.35X3.8023.20
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Defensa Y JusticiaInstituto Cordoba1.1Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.19Points per game1.31
25%Win rate38%
-3Goal difference0
10Form, last 5 (pts)11
Defensa Y Justicia form
DWLWWH Independiente1–1
A Talleres Cordoba1–2
H Instituto Cordoba0–1
A Union Santa Fe0–2
H San Lorenzo3–0
Instituto Cordoba form
DWWDWA Estudiantes L.P.3–3
H Deportivo Riestra1–0
A Defensa Y Justicia0–1
H Boca Juniors2–2
A Independiente1–4
Head to head
2
Defensa
0
Draw
3
Instituto
Oct 2026Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto Cordoba0–1
Apr 2026Instituto Cordoba – Defensa Y Justicia2–0
Aug 2024Instituto Cordoba – Defensa Y Justicia4–1
Apr 2023Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto Cordoba1–0
Jun 2014Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto Cordoba1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Defensa Y Justicia slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.41 for Defensa Y Justicia, 1.17 for Instituto Cordoba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th on 19 points; Instituto Cordoba are 9th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.