Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
HUNNB I · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Nagyerdei Stadion
Debreceni VSC
4th · 19 pts15:30KICK-OFF WAT
Ujpest
5th · 18 pts48% Debreceni
23% Draw
29% Ujpest
OUR PICK
Debreceni VSC to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.39
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.10X4.3823.39
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Debreceni VSCUjpest1.8Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.58Points per game1.50
42%Win rate42%
4Goal difference3
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Debreceni VSC form
WWWWDA Puskas Academy1–3
A Csepel2–3
A Budapest Honved0–2
H Zalaegerszegi TE3–0
A Ferencvarosi TC1–1
Ujpest form
WWLLDH Nyiregyhaza2–1
A Szeged 20111–3
A Gyori ETO FC1–0
H Puskas Academy0–1
A Budapest Honved1–1
Head to head
2
Debreceni
0
Draw
3
Ujpest
Aug 2026Ujpest – Debreceni VSC4–2
May 2026Debreceni VSC – Ujpest2–1
Feb 2026Ujpest – Debreceni VSC2–1
Oct 2025Debreceni VSC – Ujpest5–2
Apr 2025Ujpest – Debreceni VSC2–1
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Debreceni VSC slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.82 for Debreceni VSC, 1.39 for Ujpest), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Debreceni VSC sit 4th on 19 points; Ujpest are 5th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.