Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Audi Field
DC United
2–1FULL TIME
New York Red Bulls
40% DC
25% Draw
35% New
OUR PICK
DC United to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.48X4.0422.86
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
DC United form
LLLLLA Columbus Crew3–0
A Toronto FC2–1
H FC Cincinnati0–2
A FC Cincinnati2–1
A Orlando City SC4–1
New York Red Bulls form
LWLLWA New England Revolution3–2
H Inter Miami2–0
H Toronto FC0–2
A DC United2–1
H San Diego4–1
Head to head
2
DC
2
Draw
1
New
Oct 2026DC United – New York Red Bulls2–1
Apr 2026New York Red Bulls – DC United4–4
May 2025DC United – New York Red Bulls0–2
Apr 2025New York Red Bulls – DC United1–2
Jan 2025New York Red Bulls – DC United1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: DC United 40%, the draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.51 for DC United, 1.39 for New York Red Bulls), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.