Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Audi Field
DC United
22:00KICK-OFF WAT
New York City FC
31% DC
26% Draw
43% New
OUR PICK
New York City FC to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.45
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.25X3.8622.31
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.96
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
DC United form
LLLLLA Columbus Crew3–0
A Toronto FC2–1
H FC Cincinnati0–2
A FC Cincinnati2–1
A Orlando City SC4–1
New York City FC form
DWDDLH CF Montreal1–1
H Atlanta United FC2–1
A Orlando City SC2–2
H Los Angeles FC1–1
A Inter Miami2–0
Head to head
2
DC
2
Draw
1
New
May 2026New York City FC – DC United0–2
Aug 2025New York City FC – DC United1–2
May 2025DC United – New York City FC0–0
Sept 2024DC United – New York City FC1–1
Apr 2024New York City FC – DC United2–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes New York City FC slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.18 for DC United, 1.45 for New York City FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.