Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium
Dalian Zhixing
2nd · 49 pts08:30KICK-OFF WAT
Tianjin Teda
12th · 31 pts43% Dalian
26% Draw
31% Tianjin
OUR PICK
Dalian Zhixing to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.8023.23
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Dalian ZhixingTianjin Teda1.6Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.2
1.69Points per game1.07
52%Win rate38%
3Goal difference4
13Form, last 5 (pts)12
Dalian Zhixing form
LWWWWA Yunnan Yukun4–3
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Sichuan Jiuniu3–1
A Qingdao Youth Island0–4
H Qingdao Jonoon2–1
Tianjin Teda form
LWWWWH SHANGHAI SIPG1–3
A Henan Jianye0–1
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Shenyang Urban1–0
H Hangzhou Greentown2–1
Head to head
0
Dalian
1
Draw
2
Tianjin
May 2026Tianjin Teda – Dalian Zhixing1–0
Aug 2025Tianjin Teda – Dalian Zhixing2–0
Apr 2025Dalian Zhixing – Tianjin Teda1–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Dalian Zhixing slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.41 for Dalian Zhixing, 1.16 for Tianjin Teda), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dalian Zhixing sit 2nd on 49 points; Tianjin Teda are 12th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.