Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 28Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium
Dalian Zhixing
2nd · 49 pts3–1FULL TIME
Sichuan Jiuniu
11th · 32 pts53% Dalian
23% Draw
24% Sichuan
OUR PICK
Dalian Zhixing to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.19
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X4.4124.11
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Dalian ZhixingSichuan Jiuniu1.6Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.8
1.69Points per game1.10
52%Win rate31%
3Goal difference-12
13Form, last 5 (pts)5
Dalian Zhixing form
LWWWWA Yunnan Yukun4–3
A Chengdu Better City0–1
H Sichuan Jiuniu3–1
A Qingdao Youth Island0–4
H Qingdao Jonoon2–1
Sichuan Jiuniu form
WLDDLH Shanghai Shenhua2–1
A Dalian Zhixing3–1
H Henan Jianye2–2
A Shandong Luneng1–1
H SHANGHAI SIPG0–1
Head to head
2
Dalian
2
Draw
0
Sichuan
Oct 2026Dalian Zhixing – Sichuan Jiuniu3–1
May 2026Sichuan Jiuniu – Dalian Zhixing1–1
Sept 2025Dalian Zhixing – Sichuan Jiuniu2–1
Apr 2025Sichuan Jiuniu – Dalian Zhixing1–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Dalian Zhixing slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.86 for Dalian Zhixing, 1.19 for Sichuan Jiuniu), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dalian Zhixing sit 2nd on 49 points; Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.