Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 31Friday, 9 October 2026 · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
Daejeon Citizen
3rd · 49 pts2–1FULL TIME
Jeonbuk Motors
4th · 48 pts42% Daejeon
26% Draw
31% Jeonbuk
OUR PICK
Daejeon Citizen to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.37X3.7823.19
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk Motors1.6Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.0
1.48Points per game1.45
39%Win rate36%
12Goal difference10
11Form, last 5 (pts)5
Daejeon Citizen form
DLWWDA Jeonbuk Motors0–0
H Vissel Kobe0–1
A Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–2
H Gwangju FC3–2
A SHANGHAI SIPG1–1
Jeonbuk Motors form
DDDWLH Daejeon Citizen0–0
A Beijing Guoan2–2
A FC Anyang1–1
H Jeju United FC3–2
A Vissel Kobe2–0
Head to head
1
Daejeon
2
Draw
2
Jeonbuk
Oct 2026Jeonbuk Motors – Daejeon Citizen0–0
Oct 2026Daejeon Citizen – Jeonbuk Motors2–1
Jul 2026Jeonbuk Motors – Daejeon Citizen0–0
Mar 2026Daejeon Citizen – Jeonbuk Motors0–1
Nov 2025Jeonbuk Motors – Daejeon Citizen3–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Daejeon Citizen slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.39 for Daejeon Citizen, 1.16 for Jeonbuk Motors), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Daejeon Citizen sit 3rd on 49 points; Jeonbuk Motors are 4th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.