Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
SOUK League 1 · Championship Group - 35Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
Daejeon Citizen
3rd · 49 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Incheon United
6th · 46 pts46% Daejeon
25% Draw
29% Incheon
OUR PICK
Daejeon Citizen to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.15
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.18X3.9323.48
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.00
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
53%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Daejeon CitizenIncheon United1.6Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.48Points per game1.39
39%Win rate36%
12Goal difference8
11Form, last 5 (pts)9
Daejeon Citizen form
DLWWDA Jeonbuk Motors0–0
H Vissel Kobe0–1
A Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–2
H Gwangju FC3–2
A SHANGHAI SIPG1–1
Incheon United form
WWDWDA FC Seoul0–1
H Jeju United FC3–1
A Gangwon FC1–1
H Pohang Steelers3–0
A Gangwon FC0–0
Head to head
3
Daejeon
2
Draw
0
Incheon
Sept 2026Incheon United – Daejeon Citizen1–1
May 2026Daejeon Citizen – Incheon United0–0
Mar 2026Incheon United – Daejeon Citizen1–3
Nov 2024Incheon United – Daejeon Citizen1–2
Aug 2024Daejeon Citizen – Incheon United2–1
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Daejeon Citizen slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.52 for Daejeon Citizen, 1.15 for Incheon United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Daejeon Citizen sit 3rd on 49 points; Incheon United are 6th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.