Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio La Portada
D. La Serena
10th · 34 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Palestino
6th · 38 pts42% D.
24% Draw
34% Palestino
OUR PICK
D. La Serena to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X4.2422.91
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
D. La SerenaPalestino1.5Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1.31Points per game1.46
31%Win rate42%
-3Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
D. La Serena form
DWLLWA Huachipato0–0
H Concepción3–1
A Everton de Vina3–2
H Universidad de Chile0–3
H Nublense2–1
Palestino form
LDDWLA Concepción1–0
H Colo Colo1–1
A Deportes Limache2–2
A Alianza Lima1–2
H U. Catolica2–3
Head to head
0
D.
1
Draw
4
Palestino
May 2026Palestino – D. La Serena5–1
Nov 2025D. La Serena – Palestino0–3
Jun 2025Palestino – D. La Serena2–1
Oct 2022Palestino – D. La Serena5–0
May 2022D. La Serena – Palestino0–0
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: D. La Serena 42%, the draw 24%, Palestino 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.66 for D. La Serena, 1.48 for Palestino), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
D. La Serena sit 10th on 34 points; Palestino are 6th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.