Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Stadion na Banovom brdu
Cukaricki
7th · 19 pts3–0FULL TIME
Zemun
14th · 6 pts65% Cukaricki
21% Draw
14% Zemun
OUR PICK
Cukaricki to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
1.91 – 0.73
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.53X4.7327.39
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
CukarickiZemun1.4Goals per game0.5
1.4Conceded per game2.0
1.36Points per game0.43
36%Win rate7%
-1Goal difference-21
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
Cukaricki form
DWWWDA IMT Novi Beograd0–0
A Loznica1–2
A FK Partizan0–2
H Zemun3–0
H Macva2–2
Zemun form
LWLLDA FK Partizan3–0
H Macva1–0
A Cukaricki3–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–3
A Novi Pazar2–2
Head to head
3
Cukaricki
1
Draw
1
Zemun
Oct 2026Cukaricki – Zemun3–0
Nov 2018Zemun – Cukaricki0–3
Jul 2018Cukaricki – Zemun1–1
Dec 2017Cukaricki – Zemun4–1
Aug 2017Zemun – Cukaricki2–0
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Cukaricki clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.91 for Cukaricki, 0.73 for Zemun), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cukaricki sit 7th on 19 points; Zemun are 14th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.