Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion na Banovom brdu
Cukaricki
6th · 19 pts2–2FULL TIME
Macva
12th · 10 pts63% Cukaricki
22% Draw
15% Macva
OUR PICK
Cukaricki to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.79
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.58X4.6026.61
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.86
NG
54%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
CukarickiMacva1.4Goals per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game1.8
1.36Points per game0.71
36%Win rate14%
-1Goal difference-14
8Form, last 5 (pts)2
Cukaricki form
DWWWDA IMT Novi Beograd0–0
A Loznica1–2
A FK Partizan0–2
H Zemun3–0
H Macva2–2
Macva form
LWLDDH FK Crvena Zvezda2–4
H Napredak2–0
A Zemun1–0
H OFK Beograd1–1
A Cukaricki2–2
Head to head
3
Cukaricki
2
Draw
0
Macva
Oct 2026Cukaricki – Macva2–2
Mar 2021Macva – Cukaricki1–2
Sept 2020Cukaricki – Macva4–0
Jun 2020Cukaricki – Macva3–1
Nov 2019Macva – Cukaricki0–0
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo14+1027
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Cukaricki14-119
7Mladost Lucani13-618
8FK Partizan14017
9Radnik Surdulica13017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Cukaricki clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.88 for Cukaricki, 0.79 for Macva), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cukaricki sit 6th on 19 points; Macva are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.