Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
56%
BRASerie B · Matchday 36Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba
13th · 47 pts22:30KICK-OFF WAT
São Bernardo
11th · 49 pts38% Cuiaba
32% Draw
31% São
OUR PICK
Cuiaba to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.66
Expected goals
1.01 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.66X3.1423.27
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.44
1X
69%
Season stats
CuiabaSão Bernardo0.9Goals per game1.4
0.8Conceded per game1.1
1.34Points per game1.40
31%Win rate37%
4Goal difference10
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Cuiaba form
No recent matches.
São Bernardo form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Cuiaba
0
Draw
0
São
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Cuiaba 38%, the draw 32%, São Bernardo 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.01 for Cuiaba, 0.88 for São Bernardo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cuiaba sit 13th on 47 points; São Bernardo are 11th on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.