Over 1.5 goals@2.21
Over 1.5
45%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba
13th · 47 pts01:30KICK-OFF WAT
Juventude
2nd · 65 pts26% Cuiaba
36% Draw
37% Juventude
OUR PICK
Juventude to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
0.67 – 0.86
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.78X2.7722.67
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.39
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.39
NG
72%
Double chance@1.36
X2
74%
Season stats
CuiabaJuventude0.9Goals per game1.3
0.8Conceded per game0.7
1.31Points per game1.81
31%Win rate50%
3Goal difference22
1Form, last 5 (pts)9
Cuiaba form
LLLLDH São Bernardo1–2
A America Mineiro1–0
A Londrina1–0
H Avai0–1
A Vila Nova0–0
Juventude form
DWDDWA Vila Nova2–2
H Nautico Recife4–0
A Ceara2–2
H São Bernardo2–2
A Ponte Preta0–2
Head to head
2
Cuiaba
2
Draw
1
Juventude
Jul 2026Juventude – Cuiaba2–0
Nov 2024Juventude – Cuiaba1–1
Sept 2024Cuiaba – Juventude0–0
Aug 2022Cuiaba – Juventude1–0
Apr 2022Juventude – Cuiaba0–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense36+955
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Juventude slight favourites, giving them a 37% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.67 for Cuiaba, 0.86 for Juventude), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cuiaba sit 13th on 47 points; Juventude are 2nd on 65.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.