Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Estadio General Santander
Cucuta
19th · 16 pts00:30KICK-OFF WAT
Santa Fe
7th · 29 pts26% Cucuta
23% Draw
51% Santa
OUR PICK
Santa Fe to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.82
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.87X4.3521.95
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
CucutaSanta Fe1.2Goals per game1.5
1.8Conceded per game1.2
0.84Points per game1.53
16%Win rate37%
-13Goal difference7
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Cucuta form
LLWWWH Águilas Doradas0–2
A America de Cali3–1
H Atletico Nacional1–0
A Chico0–1
H Deportivo Pereira4–0
Santa Fe form
LWWLDA Atletico Nacional2–0
H Bucaramanga2–1
H Jaguares2–1
A Llaneros1–0
H Fortaleza FC2–2
Head to head
0
Cucuta
0
Draw
0
Santa
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Santa Fe slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.23 for Cucuta, 1.82 for Santa Fe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cucuta sit 19th on 16 points; Santa Fe are 7th on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.