Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 13Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Estadio General Santander
Cucuta
19th · 16 pts4–0FULL TIME
Deportivo Pereira
20th · 10 pts42% Cucuta
26% Draw
31% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Cucuta to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.17
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.37X3.7923.18
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
CucutaDeportivo Pereira1.2Goals per game0.8
1.8Conceded per game1.7
0.84Points per game0.53
16%Win rate5%
-13Goal difference-17
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Cucuta form
LLWWWH Águilas Doradas0–2
A America de Cali3–1
H Atletico Nacional1–0
A Chico0–1
H Deportivo Pereira4–0
Deportivo Pereira form
WDWDDH Jaguares1–0
A Once Caldas1–1
H Chico2–0
A Junior1–1
H Deportivo Cali0–0
Head to head
3
Cucuta
1
Draw
1
Deportivo
Oct 2026Cucuta – Deportivo Pereira4–0
Mar 2026Deportivo Pereira – Cucuta2–2
Feb 2020Deportivo Pereira – Cucuta2–0
Aug 2018Deportivo Pereira – Cucuta0–1
Mar 2018Cucuta – Deportivo Pereira2–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Cucuta slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.40 for Cucuta, 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cucuta sit 19th on 16 points; Deportivo Pereira are 20th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.