Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
BULFirst League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Balgarska Armiya Stadium
CSKA Sofia
2nd · 31 pts0–0FULL TIME
Slavia Sofia
7th · 13 pts61% CSKA
27% Draw
12% Slavia
OUR PICK
CSKA Sofia to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.47
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.64X3.7028.22
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.40
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.40
NG
72%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
CSKA SofiaSlavia Sofia2.2Goals per game0.7
0.7Conceded per game0.7
2.38Points per game1.00
69%Win rate15%
20Goal difference0
11Form, last 5 (pts)3
CSKA Sofia form
No recent matches.
Slavia Sofia form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
CSKA
0
Draw
0
Slavia
These sides haven't met recently.
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Dunav Ruse13-711
10Botev Vratsa12-1110
Match preview
Our model makes CSKA Sofia clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.42 for CSKA Sofia, 0.47 for Slavia Sofia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CSKA Sofia sit 2nd on 31 points; Slavia Sofia are 7th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.