Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
BULFirst League · Matchday 14Friday, 30 October 2026 · Bistritsa Stadium
CSKA 1948
4th · 28 pts6–1FULL TIME
Spartak Varna
8th · 13 pts70% CSKA
18% Draw
12% Spartak
OUR PICK
CSKA 1948 to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.78
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X5.4728.47
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Season stats
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna2.4Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.8
2.15Points per game1.00
69%Win rate23%
17Goal difference-11
12Form, last 5 (pts)4
CSKA 1948 form
WWWLWH Spartak Varna6–1
H Botev Plovdiv4–0
A Neftochimic Burgas0–4
H CSKA Sofia2–3
A Slavia Sofia1–2
Spartak Varna form
LLWWLA CSKA 19486–1
A Dunav Ruse2–0
A Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–4
A Botev Vratsa0–1
H Lokomotiv Sofia0–1
Head to head
2
CSKA
3
Draw
0
Spartak
Oct 2026CSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna6–1
Jul 2026Spartak Varna – CSKA 19482–2
Mar 2026Spartak Varna – CSKA 19481–2
Oct 2025CSKA 1948 – Spartak Varna1–1
Nov 2024Spartak Varna – CSKA 19481–1
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Dunav Ruse13-711
10Botev Vratsa12-1110
Match preview
Our model makes CSKA 1948 clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.21 for CSKA 1948, 0.78 for Spartak Varna), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CSKA 1948 sit 4th on 28 points; Spartak Varna are 8th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.