Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
BULFirst League · Matchday 12Friday, 23 October 2026 · Bistritsa Stadium
CSKA 1948
4th · 28 pts4–0FULL TIME
Botev Plovdiv
5th · 22 pts57% CSKA
20% Draw
23% Botev
OUR PICK
CSKA 1948 to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.38
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.75X5.0124.38
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
CSKA 1948Botev Plovdiv2.4Goals per game1.7
1.1Conceded per game1.5
2.15Points per game1.69
69%Win rate54%
17Goal difference2
12Form, last 5 (pts)12
CSKA 1948 form
WWWLWH Spartak Varna6–1
H Botev Plovdiv4–0
A Neftochimic Burgas0–4
H CSKA Sofia2–3
A Slavia Sofia1–2
Botev Plovdiv form
WLWWWA Lokomotiv Sofia2–5
A CSKA 19484–0
A Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0–4
H Botev Vratsa2–0
H Slavia Sofia1–0
Head to head
3
CSKA
1
Draw
1
Botev
Oct 2026CSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv4–0
Mar 2026CSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv0–0
Sept 2025Botev Plovdiv – CSKA 19481–2
Mar 2025Botev Plovdiv – CSKA 19480–5
Sept 2024CSKA 1948 – Botev Plovdiv0–1
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali13-121
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Cherno More Varna13-812
10Dunav Ruse13-711
Match preview
Our model makes CSKA 1948 clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.26 for CSKA 1948, 1.38 for Botev Plovdiv), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CSKA 1948 sit 4th on 28 points; Botev Plovdiv are 5th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.