Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026
CS Constantine
12th · 7 pts0–2FULL TIME
USM Alger
3rd · 14 pts22% CS
22% Draw
56% USM
OUR PICK
USM Alger to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.93
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.55X4.5321.79
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.28
X2
78%
Season stats
CS ConstantineUSM Alger1.4Goals per game1.4
2.1Conceded per game0.7
0.88Points per game2.00
25%Win rate57%
-6Goal difference5
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
CS Constantine form
No recent matches.
USM Alger form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
CS
0
Draw
0
USM
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes USM Alger clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.13 for CS Constantine, 1.93 for USM Alger), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CS Constantine sit 12th on 7 points; USM Alger are 3rd on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.