BRASerie A · Matchday 32Friday, 23 October 2026 · Estádio Mineirão

Cruzeiro

3rd · 57 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Remo

19th · 29 pts

59% Cruzeiro

21% Draw

20% Remo

OUR PICK

Cruzeiro to win

Model probability 59% · fair odds

1.71

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.10

Confidence

Medium

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.71X4.7124.96

Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36

Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.22

Over 1.5

82%

Over/Under 2.5@1.66

Over 2.5

60%

Both teams to score@1.73

58%

Double chance@1.25

80%

Season stats

CruzeiroRemo

1.6Goals per game1.1

1.4Conceded per game1.5

1.73Points per game0.88

52%Win rate18%

6Goal difference-15

12Form, last 5 (pts)6

Cruzeiro form

WWWLW

A Atletico-MG0–1

H Remo1–0

A Gremio2–4

A RB Bragantino4–2

H Sao Paulo2–0

Remo form

WLDDD

H Botafogo2–1

A Cruzeiro1–0

H RB Bragantino1–1

A Vasco DA Gama0–0

H Gremio1–1

Head to head

Cruzeiro

Draw

Remo

Oct 2026Cruzeiro – Remo1–0

Apr 2026Remo – Cruzeiro0–1

May 2022Cruzeiro – Remo1–0

Apr 2022Remo – Cruzeiro2–1

Oct 2021Cruzeiro – Remo1–3

Serie A table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Flamengo33+4073

2Palmeiras33+3470

3Cruzeiro33+657

4Fluminense33+1054

5Atletico Paranaense33+1054

6Bahia33+653

7Atletico-MG33+550

8Santos33+247

9RB Bragantino33+444

10Sao Paulo33043

Match preview

Our model makes Cruzeiro clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.02 for Cruzeiro, 1.10 for Remo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 57 points; Remo are 19th on 29.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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