Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Alexandra Stadium
Crewe
4th · 22 pts1–1FULL TIME
Barnet
2nd · 26 pts34% Crewe
24% Draw
42% Barnet
OUR PICK
Barnet to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.36
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.62
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.97X4.1722.36
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
CreweBarnet1.2Goals per game2.2
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.57Points per game2.00
36%Win rate54%
0Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Crewe form
No recent matches.
Barnet form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Crewe
0
Draw
0
Barnet
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Crewe 34%, the draw 24%, Barnet 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.42 for Crewe, 1.62 for Barnet), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Crewe sit 4th on 22 points; Barnet are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.