Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
ITASerie B · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese
11th · 12 pts0–1FULL TIME
Juve Stabia
16th · 9 pts44% Cremonese
29% Draw
28% Juve
OUR PICK
Cremonese to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.29X3.4723.63
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.38
1X
72%
Season stats
CremoneseJuve Stabia1.0Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.20Points per game0.90
30%Win rate30%
-1Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Cremonese form
WWLLDH Benevento2–0
A Mantova0–2
H Juve Stabia0–1
A Pisa3–1
A Arezzo0–0
Juve Stabia form
DLWWDA Empoli2–2
H Hellas Verona0–1
A Cremonese0–1
H Sudtirol3–0
A Virtus Entella1–1
Head to head
2
Cremonese
1
Draw
2
Juve
Oct 2026Cremonese – Juve Stabia0–1
May 2025Cremonese – Juve Stabia3–0
May 2025Juve Stabia – Cremonese2–1
Apr 2025Cremonese – Juve Stabia1–1
Oct 2024Juve Stabia – Cremonese1–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Cremonese slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.25 for Cremonese, 0.93 for Juve Stabia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cremonese sit 11th on 12 points; Juve Stabia are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.