ITASerie B · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese

11th · 12 pts
2–0FULL TIME

Benevento

6th · 15 pts
33% Cremonese
30% Draw
37% Benevento
OUR PICK
Benevento to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.72
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.08
Confidence
Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X213.01X3.3322.72
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%

Season stats

CremoneseBenevento
1.0Goals per game1.4
1.1Conceded per game1.0
1.20Points per game1.50
30%Win rate40%
-1Goal difference4
7Form, last 5 (pts)8

Cremonese form

No recent matches.

Benevento form

No recent matches.

Head to head

0
Cremonese
0
Draw
0
Benevento

These sides haven't met recently.

Serie B table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Cremonese 33%, the draw 30%, Benevento 37%.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.01 for Cremonese, 1.08 for Benevento), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Cremonese sit 11th on 12 points; Benevento are 6th on 15.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.