Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
BRASerie B · Matchday 34Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estádio Rei Pelé
CRB
6th · 55 pts0–1FULL TIME
Botafogo SP
12th · 48 pts46% CRB
25% Draw
29% Botafogo
OUR PICK
CRB to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.16X4.0723.42
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
CRBBotafogo SP1.5Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.53Points per game1.33
44%Win rate36%
3Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)13
CRB form
LWLDWA Goias2–1
H Londrina2–1
H Botafogo SP0–1
A Fortaleza EC2–2
H Atletico Goianiense3–1
Botafogo SP form
DWWWWH Sport Recife1–1
A Avai0–2
A CRB0–1
H Ceara1–0
A Operario-PR1–2
Head to head
2
CRB
1
Draw
2
Botafogo
Oct 2026CRB – Botafogo SP0–1
Jun 2026Botafogo SP – CRB0–1
Sept 2025CRB – Botafogo SP3–2
May 2025Botafogo SP – CRB2–1
Sept 2024Botafogo SP – CRB0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes CRB slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.61 for CRB, 1.23 for Botafogo SP), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CRB sit 6th on 55 points; Botafogo SP are 12th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.