Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
BRASerie B · Matchday 32Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Estádio Rei Pelé
CRB
6th · 55 pts3–1FULL TIME
Atletico Goianiense
8th · 54 pts36% CRB
27% Draw
37% Atletico
OUR PICK
Atletico Goianiense to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.73
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.24
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.77X3.6822.73
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
CRBAtletico Goianiense1.5Goals per game1.2
1.4Conceded per game0.9
1.57Points per game1.54
46%Win rate40%
4Goal difference9
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
CRB form
LWLDWA Goias2–1
H Londrina2–1
H Botafogo SP0–1
A Fortaleza EC2–2
H Atletico Goianiense3–1
Atletico Goianiense form
LDDLWH Novorizontino0–1
A Ponte Preta1–1
H Sport Recife1–1
A CRB3–1
H America Mineiro2–0
Head to head
3
CRB
1
Draw
1
Atletico
Oct 2026CRB – Atletico Goianiense3–1
Jun 2026Atletico Goianiense – CRB3–3
Oct 2025CRB – Atletico Goianiense2–1
Jul 2025Atletico Goianiense – CRB2–1
Aug 2023CRB – Atletico Goianiense2–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: CRB 36%, the draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.23 for CRB, 1.24 for Atletico Goianiense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CRB sit 6th on 55 points; Atletico Goianiense are 8th on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.