Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · The Broadfield Stadium
Crawley Town
24th · 9 pts1–1FULL TIME
Tranmere
11th · 19 pts30% Crawley
25% Draw
45% Tranmere
OUR PICK
Tranmere to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.34X3.9822.23
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Crawley TownTranmere1.1Goals per game1.4
1.8Conceded per game1.2
0.75Points per game1.36
17%Win rate29%
-8Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)8
Crawley Town form
WDLLDA Oldham0–1
H Tranmere1–1
H Shrewsbury2–3
A Salford City2–1
H Chesterfield2–2
Tranmere form
WDWLDH Cheltenham3–1
A Crawley Town1–1
A Northampton0–1
H Barnet1–2
H Rochdale1–1
Head to head
2
Crawley
1
Draw
2
Tranmere
Oct 2026Crawley Town – Tranmere1–1
Feb 2026Tranmere – Crawley Town2–0
Aug 2025Crawley Town – Tranmere0–2
Mar 2024Tranmere – Crawley Town1–3
Sept 2023Crawley Town – Tranmere3–2
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Tranmere slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.21 for Crawley Town, 1.54 for Tranmere), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Crawley Town sit 24th on 9 points; Tranmere are 11th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.