Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Cracovia Krakow
13th · 12 pts3–1FULL TIME
Zaglebie Lubin
8th · 19 pts29% Cracovia
28% Draw
43% Zaglebie
OUR PICK
Zaglebie Lubin to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.29
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.44X3.5722.33
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.68
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Cracovia KrakowZaglebie Lubin1.2Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.3
0.92Points per game1.58
23%Win rate42%
-6Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Cracovia Krakow form
LLDWLH Motor Lublin1–2
A Piast Gliwice3–1
H Legia Warszawa1–1
H Zaglebie Lubin3–1
H Nieciecza2–3
Zaglebie Lubin form
DWLWLA Motor Lublin2–2
H Jagiellonia1–0
A Cracovia Krakow3–1
H Miedz Legnica1–0
H Wisla Plock0–2
Head to head
2
Cracovia
3
Draw
0
Zaglebie
Oct 2026Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie Lubin3–1
May 2026Zaglebie Lubin – Cracovia Krakow0–0
Nov 2025Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie Lubin0–0
May 2025Zaglebie Lubin – Cracovia Krakow1–2
Nov 2024Cracovia Krakow – Zaglebie Lubin1–1
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Zaglebie Lubin slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.01 for Cracovia Krakow, 1.29 for Zaglebie Lubin), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cracovia Krakow sit 13th on 12 points; Zaglebie Lubin are 8th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.