Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 4Wednesday, 7 October 2026
CR Belouizdad
1st · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Khenchela
13th · 5 pts64% CR
22% Draw
14% Khenchela
OUR PICK
CR Belouizdad to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.69
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.56X4.5127.32
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
CR BelouizdadKhenchela1.7Goals per game0.4
1.0Conceded per game1.1
2.43Points per game0.71
71%Win rate14%
5Goal difference-5
13Form, last 5 (pts)3
CR Belouizdad form
WDH JS Saoura1–0
A USM Alger2–2
Khenchela form
LLLWA MC Alger2–0
H JS Kabylie0–3
A MC Oran1–0
H CS Constantine2–0
Head to head
3
CR
2
Draw
0
Khenchela
Oct 2026CR Belouizdad – Khenchela1–0
May 2026CR Belouizdad – Khenchela3–1
Sept 2025Khenchela – CR Belouizdad1–1
Feb 2025CR Belouizdad – Khenchela3–0
Oct 2024Khenchela – CR Belouizdad0–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes CR Belouizdad clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.81 for CR Belouizdad, 0.69 for Khenchela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CR Belouizdad sit 1st on 17 points; Khenchela are 13th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.