Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
CR Belouizdad
1st · 17 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
CS Constantine
12th · 7 pts72% CR
15% Draw
13% CS
OUR PICK
CR Belouizdad to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
2.77 – 1.10
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.39X6.5027.96
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.14
1X
87%
Season stats
CR BelouizdadCS Constantine1.7Goals per game1.4
1.0Conceded per game2.1
2.43Points per game0.88
71%Win rate25%
5Goal difference-6
13Form, last 5 (pts)3
CR Belouizdad form
WDH JS Saoura1–0
A USM Alger2–2
CS Constantine form
LLLLH USM Alger0–2
A Olympique Akbou3–0
H JS El Biar2–4
A Khenchela2–0
Head to head
2
CR
2
Draw
1
CS
Apr 2026CS Constantine – CR Belouizdad2–3
Feb 2026CS Constantine – CR Belouizdad0–0
Sept 2025CR Belouizdad – CS Constantine2–2
Jun 2025CS Constantine – CR Belouizdad0–2
Jan 2025CR Belouizdad – CS Constantine0–2
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes CR Belouizdad clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.77 for CR Belouizdad, 1.10 for CS Constantine), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CR Belouizdad sit 1st on 17 points; CS Constantine are 12th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.