Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
16th · 9 pts3–1FULL TIME
Sunderland
20th · 5 pts50% Coventry
25% Draw
25% Sunderland
OUR PICK
Coventry to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.03
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.01X3.9624.02
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
CoventrySunderland1.0Goals per game0.8
1.8Conceded per game1.9
1.00Points per game0.56
33%Win rate11%
-7Goal difference-10
9Form, last 5 (pts)1
Coventry form
No recent matches.
Sunderland form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Coventry
0
Draw
0
Sunderland
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Manchester City9+1021
2Arsenal8+821
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool8+315
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model makes Coventry slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.57 for Coventry, 1.03 for Sunderland), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Coventry sit 16th on 9 points; Sunderland are 20th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.