Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry
16th · 9 pts0–1FULL TIME
Fulham
15th · 9 pts39% Coventry
26% Draw
35% Fulham
OUR PICK
Coventry to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X3.8122.89
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
CoventryFulham1.0Goals per game1.0
1.8Conceded per game1.2
1.00Points per game1.00
33%Win rate22%
-7Goal difference-2
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
Coventry form
WLLWWH Sunderland3–1
H Fulham0–1
A Tottenham3–1
H Newcastle4–1
A Nottingham Forest0–1
Fulham form
DLWWLA Aston Villa1–1
H Crystal Palace0–1
A Coventry0–1
H Hull City1–0
A Ipswich2–1
Head to head
2
Coventry
0
Draw
1
Fulham
Oct 2026Coventry – Fulham0–1
Apr 2022Fulham – Coventry1–3
Oct 2021Coventry – Fulham4–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Everton9013
8Bournemouth9+112
9Tottenham9012
10Aston Villa9-312
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Coventry 39%, the draw 26%, Fulham 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.36 for Coventry, 1.26 for Fulham), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Coventry sit 16th on 9 points; Fulham are 15th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.