Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
BRASerie A · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estádio Couto Pereira
Coritiba
11th · 42 pts2–0FULL TIME
Vitoria
14th · 38 pts46% Coritiba
26% Draw
28% Vitoria
OUR PICK
Coritiba to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.16X3.8623.61
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
CoritibaVitoria1.2Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.27Points per game1.15
33%Win rate30%
-10Goal difference-13
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Coritiba form
No recent matches.
Vitoria form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Coritiba
0
Draw
0
Vitoria
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8Santos33+247
9RB Bragantino33+444
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model makes Coritiba slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.49 for Coritiba, 1.09 for Vitoria), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Coritiba sit 11th on 42 points; Vitoria are 14th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.