Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026
Cordoba
11th · 16 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
AD Ceuta FC
22nd · 5 pts69% Cordoba
17% Draw
14% AD
OUR PICK
Cordoba to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.57 – 1.09
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X5.9527.10
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
CordobaAD Ceuta FC1.6Goals per game0.8
1.8Conceded per game2.3
1.33Points per game0.42
42%Win rate8%
-3Goal difference-17
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Cordoba form
DLWWLA Celta de Vigo II2–2
A Atlético Paso3–1
H Eibar2–0
A Leganes0–1
A Eldense2–1
AD Ceuta FC form
LWLLLH Sporting Gijon0–2
A Poblense1–2
A Cadiz3–1
H Oviedo1–2
H Sabadell1–2
Head to head
1
Cordoba
3
Draw
1
AD
Feb 2026AD Ceuta FC – Cordoba3–2
Nov 2025Cordoba – AD Ceuta FC2–0
Feb 2024AD Ceuta FC – Cordoba1–1
Nov 2023Cordoba – AD Ceuta FC3–3
Mar 2023Cordoba – AD Ceuta FC1–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Cordoba clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.57 for Cordoba, 1.09 for AD Ceuta FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cordoba sit 11th on 16 points; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.