Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 24Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Coquimbo Unido
7th · 35 pts5–2FULL TIME
Colo Colo
1st · 58 pts23% Coquimbo
23% Draw
54% Colo
OUR PICK
Colo Colo to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.81
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.31X4.3421.86
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Coquimbo UnidoColo Colo1.5Goals per game2.2
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.40Points per game2.23
40%Win rate69%
3Goal difference28
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Coquimbo Unido form
WLWWWH Union La Calera1–0
A Nublense2–1
H Colo Colo5–2
H Cobreloa2–1
A Cobreloa1–2
Colo Colo form
WWDLWH D. Puerto Montt3–0
H Universidad de Concepcion6–1
A Palestino1–1
A Coquimbo Unido5–2
A D. Puerto Montt0–1
Head to head
3
Coquimbo
1
Draw
1
Colo
Oct 2026Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo5–2
May 2026Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo1–0
May 2026Colo Colo – Coquimbo Unido3–1
Mar 2026Colo Colo – Coquimbo Unido1–1
Oct 2025Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo1–0
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes Colo Colo clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.86 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.11 for Coquimbo Unido, 1.81 for Colo Colo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Coquimbo Unido sit 7th on 35 points; Colo Colo are 1st on 58.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.