Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 9Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sapporo Dome
Consadole Sapporo
9th · 20 pts2–1FULL TIME
Iwaki
8th · 20 pts35% Consadole
25% Draw
40% Iwaki
OUR PICK
Iwaki to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.82X4.0622.51
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Consadole SapporoIwaki1.2Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.43Points per game1.43
43%Win rate43%
-2Goal difference3
12Form, last 5 (pts)11
Consadole Sapporo form
WWWWLH Shonan Bellmare1–0
A Kataller Toyama0–1
A Montedio Yamagata0–2
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Jubilo Iwata1–0
Iwaki form
WDDWWA Tochigi City1–3
H Jubilo Iwata1–1
A Shonan Bellmare1–1
H Ventforet Kofu5–0
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
Head to head
2
Consadole
1
Draw
2
Iwaki
Oct 2026Consadole Sapporo – Iwaki2–1
Apr 2026Consadole Sapporo – Iwaki2–1
Feb 2026Iwaki – Consadole Sapporo1–0
Sept 2025Consadole Sapporo – Iwaki1–5
May 2025Iwaki – Consadole Sapporo1–1
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Consadole Sapporo 35%, the draw 25%, Iwaki 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.41 for Consadole Sapporo, 1.51 for Iwaki), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Consadole Sapporo sit 9th on 20 points; Iwaki are 8th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.