Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion
Concepción
10th · 32 pts00:30KICK-OFF WAT
Palestino
5th · 38 pts38% Concepción
27% Draw
34% Palestino
OUR PICK
Concepción to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.61
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.18
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.61X3.6522.91
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
ConcepciónPalestino1.1Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.28Points per game1.52
36%Win rate44%
-3Goal difference3
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Concepción form
No recent matches.
Palestino form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Concepción
0
Draw
0
Palestino
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Concepción 38%, the draw 27%, Palestino 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.26 for Concepción, 1.18 for Palestino), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Concepción sit 10th on 32 points; Palestino are 5th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.