Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
ITASerie A · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como
5th · 20 pts1–0HALF TIME
Venezia
20th · 3 pts78% Como
15% Draw
7% Venezia
OUR PICK
Como to win
Model probability 78% · fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
2.46 – 0.59
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.28X6.85214.34
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.30
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.07
1X
93%
Season stats
ComoVenezia1.9Goals per game0.7
0.9Conceded per game2.1
2.22Points per game0.33
67%Win rate11%
9Goal difference-13
10Form, last 5 (pts)3
Como form
WWWWWH Venezia1–0
A Torino1–3
H Sassuolo2–0
H Manchester United4–1
A Fiorentina1–3
Venezia form
LLLWLA Como1–0
H Inter0–2
A Genoa1–0
H Napoli1–0
A Atalanta3–1
Head to head
2
Como
2
Draw
1
Venezia
Nov 2026Como – Venezia1–0
Mar 2025Como – Venezia1–1
Dec 2024Venezia – Como2–2
Mar 2024Como – Venezia2–1
Aug 2023Venezia – Como3–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio9+1525
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4AC Milan10+921
5Como9+920
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino9013
Match preview
Our model makes Como clear favourites, giving them a 78% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.46 for Como, 0.59 for Venezia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Como sit 5th on 20 points; Venezia are 20th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.