Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
ITASerie A · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como
4th · 23 pts2–0FULL TIME
Sassuolo
15th · 8 pts72% Como
16% Draw
13% Sassuolo
OUR PICK
Como to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
2.67 – 1.05
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.40X6.3127.95
Goals 2.5Over1.40Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
61%
Double chance@1.14
1X
87%
Season stats
ComoSassuolo1.8Goals per game1.6
0.8Conceded per game2.4
2.30Points per game0.89
70%Win rate22%
10Goal difference-8
13Form, last 5 (pts)1
Como form
WWWWWH Venezia1–0
A Torino1–3
H Sassuolo2–0
H Manchester United4–1
A Fiorentina1–3
Sassuolo form
LLLDLH Lazio2–6
A Como2–0
A Frosinone4–2
H AC Milan1–1
A Monza2–1
Head to head
3
Como
0
Draw
1
Sassuolo
Oct 2026Como – Sassuolo2–0
Apr 2026Sassuolo – Como2–1
Nov 2025Como – Sassuolo2–0
Sept 2025Como – Sassuolo3–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model makes Como clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.67 for Como, 1.05 for Sassuolo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Como sit 4th on 23 points; Sassuolo are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.