Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
WALPremier League · Matchday 15Friday, 30 October 2026 · Llanelian Road
Colwyn Bay
5th · 29 pts2–0FULL TIME
Cambrian & Clydach
9th · 18 pts70% Colwyn
16% Draw
14% Cambrian
OUR PICK
Colwyn Bay to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.72 – 1.16
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X6.2427.19
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
Colwyn BayCambrian & Clydach1.7Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game2.5
1.93Points per game1.20
60%Win rate33%
9Goal difference-15
10Form, last 5 (pts)3
Colwyn Bay form
WDDWLH Cambrian & Clydach2–0
H Cardiff MET2–2
A Buckley Town2–2
A Flint Town United0–1
A Briton Ferry1–0
Cambrian & Clydach form
LLWLLA Colwyn Bay2–0
H Airbus UK2–3
H Trethomas Bluebirds5–0
H Ammanford AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
Head to head
1
Colwyn
0
Draw
0
Cambrian
Oct 2026Colwyn Bay – Cambrian & Clydach2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes Colwyn Bay clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.72 for Colwyn Bay, 1.16 for Cambrian & Clydach), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Colwyn Bay sit 5th on 29 points; Cambrian & Clydach are 9th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.