Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Columbus Crew
3–1FULL TIME
Charlotte
39% Columbus
24% Draw
38% Charlotte
OUR PICK
Columbus Crew to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.58
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X4.2522.64
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Columbus Crew form
WWWDWH DC United3–0
A FC Dallas0–2
H Toronto FC4–2
H St. Louis City0–0
A FC Cincinnati0–2
Charlotte form
WWLDLH Orlando City SC4–0
H CF Montreal4–0
A Portland Timbers3–2
A Philadelphia Union2–2
A Columbus Crew3–1
Head to head
2
Columbus
1
Draw
2
Charlotte
Oct 2026Columbus Crew – Charlotte3–1
Aug 2026Charlotte – Columbus Crew3–1
May 2025Charlotte – Columbus Crew3–2
May 2025Columbus Crew – Charlotte4–2
Jul 2024Columbus Crew – Charlotte1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Columbus Crew 39%, the draw 24%, Charlotte 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.60 for Columbus Crew, 1.58 for Charlotte), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.